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Bitcoin

BTC#1

Bitcoin is a decentralised digital currency secured by an open network with no central issuer.

$82,800
1.43%24h1.93%30d

Market cap
$1.66T
Volume 24h
$18.78B
All-time high
$126,198
−34.39% from ATH
Circulating supply
20.1M of 21M
Liberandum halal verdict
Shariah criteria: 8 pass, 0 caution, 0 fail
Halal
حلال

Passes all 8 Shariah criteria.

  • 8 pass
  • 0 caution
  • 0 fail
Why it’s halal
Verdict history
  1. Halal
    Current

    First publication

Verdict history · Bitcoin

First publication and every verdict change with its reason.

AI Insight
Attractive

Bitcoin remains fundamentally attractive long-term, but the near-term setup turns neutral with risk outweighing upside at current levels.

Long termAttractivePrice valuation: Fair zone (Supports)Fundamentals: Strong (Supports)News background: Mixed (Neutral)Now · 2–12 weeksNeutralTrend: Up (Supports)Upside vs downside: limited (Weighs against)Scenarios: balanced (Neutral)
High confidence · 6 of 6 criteria assessed
Explore the full analysis

AI Insight: Attractive

Analysis at $81,361 · Oct 18, 2026

How the rating is built

Six criteria scored by code. The long term weighs 65%, the next weeks 35%. Missing data lowers confidence, not the rating.

Price and market criteria are recalculated daily
High confidenceHigh confidence · 6 of 6 criteria assessed
Months and years · 65%Long term: Attractive
  • Price valuationweight 25%Supports
    Score 64 of 100
    Fair zone · Mayer 1.13 · 66th percentile of the year · −35% from ATHThe valuation sits near its fair long-term level, so the price is neither low nor elevated against its own history.
  • Fundamentalsweight 30%Supports
    Score 90 of 100
    Team, institutions, tokenomics, network: all StrongFundamentals remain strong, supported by robust development, institutional engagement and sound tokenomics.
  • News backgroundweight 10%Neutral
    Score 50 of 100
    Mixed · 2 up, 1 down in 30 daysNews flow is mixed, with a regulatory setback offset by continued ETF inflows and a strong monthly performance.
Next 2–12 weeks · 35%Now: Neutral
  • Trendweight 15%Supports
    Score 74 of 100
    Daily uptrend · above SMA200 · 4H bullishThe broader trend stays an uptrend, with price holding above its longer moving average.
  • Upside vs downsideweight 12%Weighs against
    Score 19 of 100
    +2.3% to $84,400 · −4.2% to $79,100 · ratio 0.5The near-term risk-reward skews unfavourable, as the remaining upside looks thin against the downside exposure.
  • Scenariosweight 8%Neutral
    Score 48 of 100
    Growth 35% · Base 45% · Decline 20% · weighted −0.6%Modelled scenarios are balanced, with the base case carrying the highest probability but strong dispersion across outcomes.

Criterion status: 60–100 supports, 40–59 neutral, below 40 weighs against. “Very attractive” is only possible when no criterion weighs against. Analytical information, not investment advice.

Fundamentals: Strong

Strong fundamentals: a fixed 21 million supply with no issuer, open development and a deep institutional base, offset by concentrated mining pools, thin fee revenue and unfinished quantum-safety work.

Reviewed every 3 months and on major events

News: Mixed

Bitcoin gained through August and September 2026 on sustained spot ETF inflows and was on track for a third straight monthly gain. The run was interrupted on 15 September, when the US Senate failed to advance the Clarity Act in a 49-50 procedural vote and BTC slipped nearly 3% to just above $76,000, leaving US market structure legislation stalled.

Reviewed monthly and when something material happens

Price & market: Fair zone

Bitcoin trades in line with its own history after a brief pullback, holding above its medium-term trend. The broader structure stays positive, but the current zone shows a thin upside-to-risk balance for the coming weeks. Correction risk has increased modestly, with the area below the current zone now in focus. Overall, the configuration calls for closer attention rather than added exposure.

The lines show price levels where buying has been more favourable. Not a trade signal.
Market picture
Updated weekly
Accumulation zoneLong term · price vs history
LowFairElevatedOverheated
ScenariosWeeks to months
Base$78,300–$83,10045%
Upside$82,100–$85,20035%
Downside$74,100–$76,20020%
Long term
Against its long-term trend the price sits near its fair level, with the Mayer Multiple near 1.123 and a drawdown from the all-time high of 35.5%.
Review level
$77,200
AI-generated analysis for informational and analytical purposes only. Not financial advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any assets. Full disclaimer

The technical analysis provided by Liberandum is generated using artificial intelligence algorithms and publicly available market data. All information is strictly for informational and analytical purposes only.

It does not constitute financial advice, investment guidance, or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any assets. Liberandum assumes no responsibility for inaccuracies, data delays, errors, or third-party interpretations.

Users should independently assess all risks and verify any critical information, consulting qualified financial professionals when necessary.

Technical analysis

4H
Uptrend

Pointing up since Oct 19.

Open 4H analysis

Where it trades

19 exchanges from our coverage · no referral links

Listings as of Oct 13, 2026

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